Early Warning of Communal Conflict and Genocide: Linking Empirical Research to International Responses
by Ted Robert Gurr and Barbara Harff
UN University Press
Monograph Series on Governance and Conflict Resolution. Chapter 2 presents a risk assessment model identifying group- and state-level factors that are associated with ethnopolitical rebellion and group repression and applies it systematically to 55 ethnopolitical groups in Asian countries. Results are summarized in watch lists.